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Yesterday
Kolos Kovalivka II – Metal Kharkiv 0:4 · Favourite 2 · 38%HitPolissya II – Oleksandria 0:0 · Favourite 2 · 52%MissSportist Svoge – Ludogorets II 1:1 · Favourite 2 · 41%MissFlamurtari – FK Kukesi 2:0 · Favourite 1 · 62%HitFC Voluntari – Farul Constanța 1:2 · Favourite 2 · 40%HitInter Turku – Gnistan 4:3 · Favourite 1 · 60%HitHapoel Ra'anana – Kiryat Yam SC 3:2 · Favourite 1 · 42%HitGençlerbirliği S.K. – Alanyaspor 5:0 · Favourite 2 · 38%MissGais – AIK Stockholm 2:1 · Favourite 1 · 44%HitHapoel Tel Aviv – Maccabi Haifa 2:1 · Favourite 1 · 51%HitGzira United – Marsaxlokk 0:5 · Favourite 2 · 53%HitRED Star FC 93 – Nancy 1:4 · Favourite 1 · 43%MissYesterday in total: 56 of 85 hits · 29 misses

Match predictions · football & ice hockey Probabilities for every match.

Tested on 194,000 matches.

For every match we calculate the chance of a home win and an away win (plus a draw in football), the most likely score and short reasons in plain English. We don’t promise wins. We show the numbers, including the ones that didn’t come true.

Try 7 days freeSee the accuracy
Example · Sun, 27/04/2025 · 17:30 · England · Premier LeagueEarly prediction · 05:30
HomeLiverpool
vs
AwayTottenham

1Home

66%

XDraw

18%

2Away

16%

Most likely score

2:1

9.1% · xG 2.58 – 1.23

  1. 01 · For the favourite

    Based on recent seasons, Liverpool are stronger than Tottenham (223 points ahead in our strength ranking).

  2. 02 · For the favourite

    Liverpool’s attack scores 53% more goals than the league average.

  3. 03 · For the favourite

    Form: Liverpool won 4 of their last 5 matches, Tottenham only 1.

1Confidence: MediumExample: a real match, our model’s prediction before kick-off (it ended 5:1). Probability is not certainty. Past accuracy is no guarantee.

Predictions

Upcoming matches

Today and tomorrow, with the prediction model’s favourite for selected matches. All predictions

International · UEFA Champions League

North America · NHL

01 / Process

How it works

StepPhaseWhat happensOutput
01DataFrom matches already playedResults, goals, line-ups, form, home advantage and fixture lists from recent seasons. No “sure things” from pundits.194,111 matches
02CalculationProbabilities and scoreFor every match, chances adding up to 100%: in football 1 (home), X (draw) and 2 (away), in ice hockey the winner including overtime and shootouts, and separately 1, X and 2 after 60 minutes. Plus the most likely score and expected goals.1 · X · 2
03ExplanationReasons in your languageTwo reasons that support the favourite and one against it, if there is one. Short, jargon-free, in 10 languages.SK CS EN DE FR ES IT PL HU HR

02 / Accuracy

Accuracy. Even when it misses.

Ice hockey

Correct winner

63.3%

of matches were won by the team we gave the higher chance.

Golavafavourite with the highest chance63.3 %
Random guess1 of 2 outcomes≈ 50 %

In ice hockey we predict the winner including overtime and shootouts. That is a choice between 2 options, so a random guess would be right in about 50% of matches. Evaluated on 43,064 matches from the competitions we show, seasons 2023–2026.

At confidence of 80% or more

88.7%

correct predictions when the model is at least 80% confident.

About 8% of matches are like that.

Football

In football we predict a home win, a draw or an away win. That is a choice between 3 options, so a random guess would be right in about 33% of matches.

Correct prediction

55.2%

of matches ended the way we predicted. Evaluated on 151,047 historical matches.

And yes: in 44.8% of matches we were wrong. Football is uncertain and we don’t hide it.

At confidence of 70% or more

79.0%

correct predictions when the model is at least 70% confident.

Only about 17% of matches are like that. For the rest we tell you that confidence is medium or low.

What we said vs. what happened

Each row is thousands of football matches with the same stated confidence. At the highest numbers we are slightly too optimistic (85 → 82, 94 → 92). We say so here so that you know.

When we say 75%, it should come true about 75 times out of 100

We said 75 %. It happened 74 times in 100.

Each dot is one match. Filled dot: what we predicted happened. Empty ring: it didn’t.

ended as predicteddid not end as predicted

Hits and misses. In the same type.

Real results from yesterday (Mon 02/11). We don’t hide missed predictions or move them to the end. How our predictions did over the last 7 days

Yesterday’s results and our predictions
MatchFavouriteChanceResultStatus
Kolos Kovalivka II – Metal KharkivUkraine · Persha Liga238%0:4Hit
Grafičar – NapredakSerbia · Prva Liga137%2:0Hit
Flamurtari – FK KukesiAlbania · 1st Division162%2:0Hit
Baník Ostrava II – Vysočina JihlavaCzechia · FNL238%1:3Hit
Hapoel Ra'anana – Kiryat Yam SCIsrael · Liga Leumit142%3:2Hit
Kalamata – Iraklis 1908Greece · Super League 1148%1:1Miss
Hapoel Tel Aviv – Maccabi HaifaIsrael · Ligat Ha'al151%2:1Hit
Fiorentina – JuventusItaly · Serie A Women246%1:2Hit

8 of 85 matches, spread evenly by start time. Yesterday in total: 56 hits and 29 misses.

Backtest on 194,111 historical matches. Past accuracy is no guarantee of future results.

03 / Contents

What you get for every match

One prediction, taken apart. The same structure for every match of the day.

Example · Sun, 27/04/2025 · 17:30 · England · Premier League
LiverpoolvsTottenham Hotspur
1Confidence: Medium2:19.1% · xG 2.58 – 1.23

  1. 01 · For the favourite

    Based on recent seasons, Liverpool are stronger than Tottenham (223 points ahead in our strength ranking).

  2. 02 · For the favourite

    Liverpool’s attack scores 53% more goals than the league average.

  3. 03 · For the favourite

    Form: Liverpool won 4 of their last 5 matches, Tottenham only 1.

Liverpool
Tottenham Hotspur

W win · D draw · L loss · newest on the right (underlined)

Early prediction · 05:30
  1. Start time and competitionTime in your time zone, country and competition.
  2. Probabilities 1 · X · 2Three numbers that add up to 100%. Green home, grey draw, amber away.
  3. FavouriteThe outcome with the highest chance. Not a certainty.
  4. ConfidenceHigh (70% or more), Medium (50–69%), Low (below 50%).
  5. Score and expected goalsThe most likely result and four more scores with their chances.
  6. ReasonsThe strongest arguments for the favourite and, if there is one, one against. In your language, without jargon.
  7. FormLast 5 matches of both teams: W win, D draw, L loss.
  8. Prediction stageWhen we last recalculated. For example after the line-ups were announced.

04 / Coverage

Coverage

The top two leagues in every country, European cups and national teams. If it is played in Europe, we probably have it.

Countries
53
Leagues
102
European cups
3
Languages
10

Countries · divisions 1 and 2

  1. Albania
  2. Andorra
  3. Armenia
  4. Austria
  5. Azerbaijan
  6. Belgium
  7. Bosnia & Herzegovina
  8. Bulgaria
  9. Croatia
  10. Cyprus
  11. Czechia
  12. Denmark
  13. England
  14. Estonia
  15. Faroe Islands
  16. Finland
  17. France
  18. Georgia
  19. Germany
  20. Gibraltar
  21. Greece
  22. Hungary
  23. Iceland
  24. Ireland
  25. Israel
  26. Italy
  27. Kazakhstan
  28. Kosovo
  29. Latvia
  30. Liechtenstein (national cup only)
  31. Lithuania
  32. Luxembourg
  33. Malta
  34. Moldova
  35. Montenegro
  36. Netherlands
  37. North Macedonia
  38. Northern Ireland
  39. Norway
  40. Poland
  41. Portugal
  42. Romania
  43. San Marino
  44. Scotland
  45. Serbia
  46. Slovakia
  47. Slovenia
  48. Spain
  49. Sweden
  50. Switzerland
  51. Türkiye
  52. Ukraine
  53. Wales

European cups

Champions League · Europa League · Conference League

National teams

World and European Championships · Qualifiers · Nations League

Ice hockey

NHL · AHL · OHL · WHL · QMJHL · SHL · Liiga · Champions Hockey League · IIHF World Championship and more leagues across Europe and North America. Winner prediction including overtime and shootouts, plus the result after 60 minutes.

* national cup only. Competition names are given only to describe coverage. Golava is not affiliated with any league, association or club.

05 / Pricing

Pricing

Two plans. Both start with a free 7-day trial and you can cancel at any time.

Pre-match is enough if you check the predictions before the match. Live is for those who follow how the chances change during play.

Billing period

Prices include VAT · subscription for EU customers

Basic

Pre-match

Predictions before the start of every match we cover.

€14.99 / month

Pay yearly and save €30.88.

€149 / year

works out at ≈ €12.42 a month
you save €30.88 · ≈ 2 months free

7 days free · no commitment

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Premium

Live

Everything in Pre-match plus probabilities during football matches.

€29.99 / month

Pay yearly and save €60.88.

€299 / year

works out at ≈ €24.92 a month
you save €60.88 · ≈ 2 months free

7 days free · no commitment

Try Live 7 days freeTry Live 7 days free
Plan comparison
FeaturePre-matchLive
Probabilities 1 · X · 2 before the matchyesyes
Most likely score and xGyesyes
3 reasons in 10 languagesyesyes
Update after line-ups are announcedyesyes
Full archive of evaluated predictionsyesyes
Probabilities during football matches—yes
Recalculation after goals and red cards—yes

Yearly savings are compared with 12 monthly payments. Cancel at any time.

06 / Questions

Frequently asked questions

Didn’t find an answer? Write to us at golava@golava.eu.

01Do you guarantee wins?

No. Golava estimates probabilities. Even a favourite with an 80% chance fails in roughly one match out of five. Past accuracy is no guarantee of future results.

02What exactly does “58% home” mean?

If the same match were played 100 times, the home team would win about 58 of them. It does not mean they will win today. In the Accuracy section we show how well our percentages match reality.

03How are the match predictions made?

A statistical prediction model learns from more than 150,000 matches already played: results, goals, form, home advantage, line-ups. We don’t use bookmaker odds or pundits’ estimates.

04When are predictions updated?

An early prediction is available several days in advance. In football we recalculate it once line-ups are announced, usually 30–60 minutes before the match starts. With the Live plan also during football matches, after every goal and red card.

05Is Golava a bookmaker?

No. We don’t accept bets, we don’t recommend specific bookmakers and we have no partnerships with them. The service is only for people aged 18 and over.

06How do I cancel my subscription?

In your account settings with one click, at any time. If you cancel during the 7-day trial, you pay nothing.

07Which languages is Golava available in?

Slovak, Czech, English, German, French, Spanish, Italian, Polish, Hungarian and Croatian. The reasons for every match are in the language you choose.