Arouca vs Nacional: match prediction

Prediction model favourite

Our favourite is in Golava – try it free for 7 days.

This was the final score: 1:0

Arouca vs Nacional: form and stats

Arouca in the last 5 matches: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost. Nacional in the last 5 matches: 1 won, 0 drawn, 4 lost. Arouca is 5th of 18 in the table. Nacional is 15th of 18 in the table. Head-to-head record (10 matches): Arouca won 6, 3 drawn, Nacional won 1.

Form – last 5 matches

Arouca: LDWDW
Nacional: LLLLW

Table: Liga Portugal · Primeira Liga

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	Pts
5.	Arouca	10	6	2	2	13:7	20
15.	Nacional	10	2	1	7	10:19	7

Head to head

21/02/2026Arouca 3:0 NacionalLiga Portugal
20/09/2025Nacional 1:2 AroucaLiga Portugal
01/02/2025Nacional 1:2 AroucaLiga Portugal
25/08/2024Arouca 1:0 NacionalLiga Portugal
06/05/2018Arouca 0:1 NacionalSegunda Liga

Golava calculates the probabilities for Arouca vs Nacional with a model tested on more than 150,000 matches. The favourite changes with the prediction – also after the line-ups are announced just before kick-off.